AR8 Results Tracker

UK Contracts for Difference Allocation Round 8

Live tracker for AR8: administrative strike prices, the five possible auction timelines, delivery years, and what past rounds suggest about where bids will clear.

AR8 is the eighth competitive auction under the UK Contracts for Difference scheme, the government's main mechanism for supporting investment in renewable electricity generation. AR8 applications opened on 20 July 2026 and closed on 7 August. This page tracks the published AR8 parameters and timetable, and will fill in with results as soon as they reach the LCCC data.
Auction in progress — results pending
AR8 is following the standard timetable, confirmed by DESNZ on 15 October 2026. The Contract Budget Notice and Notice of Auction are due on 19 November, and results are indicatively expected 15 to 17 February 2027. This page updates automatically once AR8 contracts appear in the LCCC data.
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Related analysis: What seven rounds of CfD results suggest about AR8  ·  Why a £114 CfD strike price isn't £114
AR8 Administrative Strike Prices

The ASP is the maximum a project can bid. Published by DESNZ on 6 July 2026 in 2024 prices. The indicative range applies the discounts actually observed for that technology in previous rounds, calculated from renDAQ's own contract and ASP data rather than a generic rule of thumb.

Technology Pot Administrative Strike Price Observed discount (past rounds) Indicative range
Floating Offshore Wind Pot 2 £271.00/MWh 20.1% – 28.4%
3 rounds · latest AR7 at 20.1%
£194.04 – £216.53/MWh
On AR7 discount: £216.53
Other Deepwater Offshore Wind Pot 2 £271.00/MWh No comparable round
New technology category introduced for AR8. No previous round to compare against. It shares the £271/MWh ceiling with floating offshore wind, which suggests DESNZ views the two cost profiles as broadly similar.
—
Offshore Wind Pot 3 £113.00/MWh 14.4% – 25.3%
6 rounds · latest AR7 at 19.3%
£84.41 – £96.73/MWh
On AR7 discount: £91.19
Onshore Wind (> 5MW) Pot 1 £92.00/MWh 1.3% – 21.5%
5 rounds · latest AR7 at 21.5%
£72.22 – £90.80/MWh
On AR7 discount: £72.22
Solar PV (> 5MW) Pot 1 £75.00/MWh 0.0% – 17.9%
4 rounds · latest AR7 at 13.0%
£61.57 – £75.00/MWh
On AR7 discount: £65.25
The indicative range spans the smallest and largest discounts this technology has previously cleared at relative to its ASP. It is an illustration of historical behaviour, not a forecast, and carries no guarantee. Actual clearing prices depend on the final budget, the bid stack, and competitive tension within each pot. Technologies with no comparable prior round show no range. AR5 offshore wind received no bids at all, so no discount is recorded for it.
Observed ASP Discounts, AR1 to AR7

How far below the ceiling each technology actually cleared in every previous round.

Round Technology ASP ceiling Cleared at Discount
AR1 Advanced Conversion Technology £140.00 £119.89 14.4%
AR2 Advanced Conversion Technology £115.00 £74.75 35.0%
AR3 Advanced Conversion Technology £111.00 £41.61 62.5%
AR2 Dedicated Biomass with CHP £115.00 £74.75 35.0%
AR1 Energy from Waste with CHP £80.00 £80.00 0.0%
AR4 Energy from Waste with CHP £121.00 £45.99 62.0%
AR4 Floating Offshore Wind £122.00 £87.30 28.4%
AR6 Floating Offshore Wind £176.00 £139.93 20.5%
AR7 Floating Offshore Wind £271.00 £216.49 20.1%
AR5 Geothermal £119.00 £119.00 0.0%
AR1 Offshore Wind £140.00 £119.89 14.4%
AR2 Offshore Wind £100.00 £74.75 25.3%
AR3 Offshore Wind £53.00 £41.61 21.5%
AR4 Offshore Wind £46.00 £37.35 18.8%
AR6 Offshore Wind £73.00 £58.87 19.4%
AR7 Offshore Wind £113.00 £91.20 19.3%
AR1 Onshore Wind (> 5MW) £90.00 £82.50 8.3%
AR4 Onshore Wind (> 5MW) £53.00 £42.47 19.9%
AR5 Onshore Wind (> 5MW) £53.00 £52.29 1.3%
AR6 Onshore Wind (> 5MW) £64.00 £50.90 20.5%
AR7 Onshore Wind (> 5MW) £92.00 £72.24 21.5%
AR3 Remote Island Wind (> 5MW) £82.00 £41.61 49.3%
AR4 Remote Island Wind (> 5MW) £62.00 £46.39 25.2%
AR5 Remote Island Wind (> 5MW) £53.00 £52.29 1.3%
AR4 Solar PV (> 5MW) £47.00 £45.99 2.1%
AR5 Solar PV (> 5MW) £47.00 £47.00 0.0%
AR6 Solar PV (> 5MW) £61.00 £50.07 17.9%
AR7 Solar PV (> 5MW) £75.00 £65.23 13.0%
AR4 Tidal Stream £211.00 £178.54 15.4%
AR5 Tidal Stream £202.00 £198.00 2.0%
AR6 Tidal Stream £261.00 £172.00 34.1%
AR7 Tidal Stream £371.00 £265.00 28.6%
Cleared Strike Prices, AR1 to AR7

Average cleared price by technology and round, from renDAQ's contract data. The AR8 ASP is shown as a dashed ceiling for comparison.

AR8 Timeline
Standard timetable confirmed
On 15 October 2026 DESNZ confirmed the Pending Applications process will not apply to AR8, so the auction follows the standard timetable. The Contract Budget Notice, setting the initial budget for each pot, and NESO's Notice of Auction are due on 19 November 2026, which matches the indicative Scenario 5 timetable. The sealed bid window opens once all qualification appeals have concluded; NESO will confirm its exact dates in the Notice of Auction, so later dates are indicative. Next: Ofgem considers qualification appeals (22 Oct – 18 Nov 2026).
Source: DESNZ, reported by TGS 4C Offshore, 15 October 2026. What it means →

Milestones up to 16 September are fixed. After that the indicative timetable branched into five scenarios depending on qualification reviews and appeals. The 15 October announcement places AR8 on Scenario 5; the other scenarios are kept for reference. Steps marked confirmed have been announced; the rest are indicative. A filled marker means the date has passed, not that a step was confirmed complete.

June 2026
Minor & Necessary guidance published; early engagement with LCCC opens
29 Jun 2026
Clean Industry Bonus results published
6 Jul 2026
Statutory notices, Contract Allocation Framework and CfD Standard Terms published
6 – 10 Jul 2026
Minor & Necessary modification request window
20 Jul – 7 Aug 2026
Application window
31 Jul 2026
Latest date for Minor & Necessary determinations
10 Aug – 16 Sep 2026
Qualification assessment by the Delivery Body (NESO)
16 Sep 2026
Applicants notified of qualification outcome — determines which scenario applies
From 16 September: AR8 is on Scenario 5
What's Different in AR8
Brought forward
AR8 was moved from autumn 2026 to July 2026, compressing the timetable to get cleared prices visible sooner and more projects into the pipeline ahead of 2030.
Longer delivery windows
Solar, onshore wind, run-of-river hydro, and floating and other deepwater offshore wind get an additional delivery year compared with AR7, reflecting growing project scale and complexity.
No-bid rule reversed
Previously an applicant who did not submit a sealed bid was treated as having bid at the ASP. Under Rule 16.3 their application is now treated as withdrawn instead.
Wider bid stack visibility
In addition to solar PV, onshore and offshore wind, the Secretary of State can now look inside anonymised bids for floating offshore and other deepwater offshore wind.
Budget flexibility
Following the AR7 approach for offshore wind, budgets for pots 1 to 4 can be increased, but only where an unsuccessful bid represents strong value for money.
Hybrid metering
Generators holding an AR8 CfD will be able to take advantage of hybrid metering arrangements.
Pot 3 zonal clearing prices
Pot 3 will carry separate clearing prices for offshore wind projects connected to different transmission and distribution system tariff zones. Government is minded not to apply a separate clearing price based on project size.
Delivery Years by Pot
PotDelivery Years
Pots 1 & 22028/29  ·  2029/30  ·  2030/31
Pots 3 & 42029/30  ·  2030/31  ·  2031/32
Pot 52029/30  ·  2030/31
Sources: DESNZ AR8 Contract Allocation Framework and Pot and Price Notice (6 July 2026), the NESO indicative AR8 timetable, and LCCC contract data for AR1–AR7. Figures are provided for information only and should be checked against the official notices before being relied on.